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Hurricane Ingrid is currently Tropical Depression Ingrid, but already shows signs of restrengthening to tropical storm status within 48 hours. Current storm track for Ingrid is 280/10, or heading almost due West at 10 knots.

Given Ingrid’s westward movement and resurgent strength, Tropical Storm Ingrid remains a potential hurricane threat to the Mid-Atlantic region and New England coastline two weeks from now. Coming ashore in those areas even as a tropical storm could cause massive flooding, so keep an eye on Ingrid’s projected path.

Latest Tropical Storm Ingrid forecast from the National Hurricane Center on 9-16-07 at 11:00AM:

INGRID IS MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY DESPITE THE HOSTILE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. IN FACT…THE APPEARANCE OF THE SYSTEM IS LESS DISORGANIZED THAN IT WAS 24 HOURS AGO…THE CONSENSUS OF SHIPS…THE GFDL…AND THE HWRF MODEL INDICATES THAT INGRID WILL EVENTUALLY REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH…AS THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS FORECAST TO BECOME LESS HOSTILE LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.

Latest projected Ingrid storm path on 9-16:

Fifth Storm Update 9-15-07:
Tropical Storm Ingrid is taking a beating from powerful upper-level wind shear and has weakened considerably. Current storm track is 295/9 and Ingrid is now aimed directly at Bermuda.

Click here for a current satellite view of Ingrid storm path in a time-lapse loop.

Here is the latest Tropical Storm Ingrid forecast from the National Hurricane Center:

INGRID IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT AT LEAST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THESE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS SHOULD INHIBIT ANY STRENGTHENING AND COULD POSSIBLY CAUSE DISSIPATION OF THE CYCLONE. HOWEVER…AFTER 3 DAYS OR SO THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO RELAX AND IF INGRID SURVIVES THAT LONG SOME OF THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT RESTRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR.

Here is the latest projected Ingrid storm path:
 

Fourth Storm Update: 9-14-07
Tropical Storm Ingrid is being slowly pushed North by a strong high pressure ridge. Current storm path is 305/6 meaning Ingrid is slowly meandering Northwestward at a leisurely six knots.

The slow movement of Tropical Storm Ingrid means the eventual hurricane could strike the mid-Atlantic region of the US in two weeks time or drift even further North and howl along the New England coast.

Here’s the latest at 5:00PM on 9-14-07 from the National Hurricane Center:

MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS FORECAST A PLAGUE OF UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES OVER INGRID THROUGH 5 DAYS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONGER THAN NORMAL MID-OCEANIC TROUGH. THIS PERSISTENT PATTERN WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO SHRED THE CLOUD PATTERN…RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL WEAKENING AS INDICATED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. I AM SURPRISED THAT SOME MODELS MAINTAIN THE CYCLONE OR EVEN FORECAST STRENGTHENING… DESPITE THE HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT. IN FACT…ONLY THE GFS AND THE GFDL BASICALLY WEAKEN INGRID.

Here’s the latest Tropical Storm Ingrid storm path:

Here’s the latest water vapor satellite view:

Watch a satellite view image loop of Atlantic wind circulation:

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html

Third Storm Update 9-14-07:
Tropical Storm Ingrid is moving slowly at 6 knots toward the W/NW heading or 290/6 in storm tracking shorthand. Tropical Storm Ingrid has intensified to 40 knot winds, but forecasters are predicting the upper level wind shear will weaken the cyclone and push it further North in the next few days.

Latest Tropical Storm Ingrid forecast at 11:00 AM on 9-14-07 from the National Hurricane Center:

THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD TO 40 KNOTS IN THIS ADVISORY. HOWEVER…THIS INTENSITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO LAST SINCE INGRID IS HEADING TOWARD A STRONGER THAN NORMAL SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.

Picture of the latest storm track for Tropical Storm Ingrid: 

Second Storm Update 9-13-07:
Tropical Storm Ingrid is still tropical depression 8, but the latest word for the NOAA National Hurricane Center at 5:00PM on 9/13/07 is that Ingrid will officially become Tropical Storm Ingrid in the next 12 hours.

Tropical Storm Ingrid’s projected path remains W/NW at 209/5 with very little forward momentum. Ingrid has slowed to only six miles per hour due to upper level shear, which will keep the tropical storm from strengthening to hurricane force winds until it reaches the Virgin Islands about a week from now.

Here’s the Tropical Storm Ingrid forecast quote from the National Hurricane Center:

THE OFFICIAL FORECAST INTENSITY REMAINS VIRTUALLY UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST…SUGGESTING A POSSIBILITY OF STRENGTHENING TO A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

Here’s a picture of the latest storm track for Ingrid:

First Storm Update 9-12-07:
Hurricane Ingrid will form from Tropical Depression 8 within 72 hours, according to the latest NOAA National Hurricane Center update at 5:00PM on 9/12/07. While Hurricane Ingrid is still far from the US, what is currently Tropical Storm Ingrid is on a storm track headed straight for Miami.

Latest projected Hurricane Ingrid storm path for the next five days:

Hurricane Ingrid Forming – NOAA Latest Update

THE GFDL…HWRF AND SHIPS MODELS BRING THE DEPRESSION TO HURRICANE STRENGTH IN ABOUT 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW THIS GUIDANCE AND KEEP THE DEPRESSION JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH.

This is already a very large storm covering nearly five degrees in each direction with clouds and rain. For landlubbers, that’s a square 350 miles per side, or over 120,000 square miles of cloud cover. Here it is on a water vapor map from a geo satellite:

Hurricane Ingrid is the ninth named tropical storm of the 2007 hurricane season. Here is the complete list of 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season Names:

1. Subtropical Storm Andrea
2. Tropical Storm Barry
3. Tropical Storm Chantal
4. Hurricane Dean (Category 4)
5. Tropical Storm Erin
6. Hurricane Felix (Category 5)
7. Tropical Storm Gabrielle
8. Hurricane Humberto
9. Hurricane Ingrid
10. Jerry
11. Karen
12. Lorenzo
13. Melissa
14. Noel
15. Olga
16. Pablo
17. Rebekah
18. Sebastien
19. Tanya
20. Van
21. Wendy

Stay tuned for more on Hurricane Ingrid as she develops into a major hurricane and makes landfall in South Florida in about ten days from now.

We’ll keep checking the latest updates from the NOAA National Hurricane Center in Miami to bring you the latest on Hurricane Ingrid.

Tags: hurricane ingrid, hurricane ingrid 2007, hurricane ingrid path

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